Based on one-day sales, the Reprise recording artist’s year-end collection looks to be the big winner coming out of Black Friday, with an estimate of 250-275k, which would be enough to turn back all the Mega Monday debuts.
Still, given the big shopping weekend, please expect a greater than usual margin of error from our crack (head) retail department’s flow of misinformation.
Roadrunner’s Nickelback win the battle of the newcomers, with its seventh studio album, Here and Now, which is looking to be in the 210-225k range. Its last album, 2008’s Dark Horse, debuted with 327k on its way to a 3.1 million total.
Last week’s chartopper, YM/CM/Universal Republic’s Drake, drops to #3 with an estimated 190-215k, bringing its two-week total to around 860k.
Def Jam/IDJ pop diva Rihanna’s Talk That Talk should enter at #4, with between 180-200k, which compares favorably to the 207k she debuted with for last year’s Loud.
19/RCA rocker Daughtry's third album, Break the Spell, will debut at #5 with between 140-150k, while his previous release, 2009's Leave This Town, bowed with 270k.
Geffen’s Mary J. Blige, with My Life II… The Journey Continues (Act 1), the sequel to her 1994 album, should debut at #6 with 130-140k.
XL/Columbia perennial Adele’s 21 just continues its 100k+ per week pace with another 120-130k, which will take her over the 4.6 million mark, good for #7. She’ll easily top 5 million before the end of the year.
Rounding out the Top 10, Nickelodeon/Columbia teenpop act Big Time Rush (#8) will enter with 90-100k, followed by Island/IDJ’s Justin Bieber (#9) sporting the same amount and the debut of Big Machine’s Taylor Swift live CD/DVD, Speak Now World Tour Live, with 85-95k at #10
Other New Releases hitting the Top 50 include Epic’s Michael Jackson Immortal Cirque de Soleil soundtrack (50-60k), Capitol/EMI’s Bob Seger Ultimate Hits compilation (45-55k), Ghet-O-Vision/Shady/Interscope’s Yelawolf (40-50k), Columbia’s America’s Got Talent winner Landau Eugene Murphy, Jr. (30-40k), Wind-up Idol rocker James Durbin’s debut (20-25k) and Universal Republic’s Rolling Stones Some Girls reissue (20-25k).
Did you ever think you’d see the day James Durbin would match the Stones in album sales? Neither did we.
Albums sales were up 9% vs. last week, down 13% vs. same week last year and up 3% year to date.
Track Sales were down 4% vs. last week, down 3% vs. same week last year and up 10% year to date.
TEA (Track Equivalent Album) sales were up 6% vs. last week, down 11% vs. same week last year and up 5% year to date.
You may now return to your tryptophan-induced coma.
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